Biogen Inc. (BIIB)

1
6.9
Valuation Metrics (Score: 8/10)
Financial Health (Score: 8/10)
Cash Flow Strength (Score: 8/10)

1. Valuation Metrics (Score: 8/10)

  • P/E Ratio: Biogen’s P/E (often in the mid-teens) is lower than many biotech peers (which can run much higher due to pipeline bets or negative earnings). Historically, Biogen’s P/E has been around the low-to-mid teens, indicating a relatively moderate valuation.
  • P/B Ratio: Biogen’s P/B typically hovers around 3–4, which is not excessive for a profitable biotech but not a deep bargain.
  • Dividend Yield: Biogen does not pay a regular dividend, so no yield/payout sustainability to assess. This is common in biotech, where cash is often reinvested in R&D.

(Attractive P/E vs. peers, no dividend but not unusual for biotech.)

2. Financial Health (Score: 8/10)

  • Debt-to-Equity: Generally moderate; Biogen has not historically been highly leveraged.
  • Current Ratio: Typically above 1.5, indicating solid short-term liquidity.
  • Profit Margins: Gross and net margins are quite robust (biotech with established products). However, margins have faced some pressure as certain flagship drugs face competition/LOE (loss of exclusivity).

(Good balance sheet, healthy liquidity, historically strong margins.)

3. Growth Potential (Score: 6/10)

  • Revenue & EPS Trends: Growth has slowed in recent years due to competition in multiple sclerosis (MS) therapies and uncertainty with new Alzheimer’s treatments.
  • Pipeline & Guidance: Biogen’s future heavily depends on key pipeline assets (e.g., Alzheimer’s). The success (or failure) of new drugs will significantly impact long-term growth.

(Solid pipeline potential, but recent revenue growth has been under pressure.)

4. Cash Flow Strength (Score: 8/10)

  • Free Cash Flow: Biogen has historically generated strong FCF thanks to its blockbuster drugs. Even with slowing sales growth, it remains cash-flow positive.
  • FCF Yield: Often above 4%, which can be viewed as attractive.

(Consistently positive FCF, though near-term pipeline results are critical for sustaining it.)

5. Industry Position (Score: 7/10)

  • Moat / Patent Position: Strong in the neurology space (MS, spinal muscular atrophy, Alzheimer’s R&D). However, pressure from biosimilars and patent cliffs is growing.
  • Market Share: Biogen remains a major biotech player, but some of its core franchises face increased competition (e.g., MS space).

(Still a top-tier neurology biotech, but competitive threats are mounting.)

6. Management & Governance (Score: 6/10)

  • Track Record: Historically good execution, but recent controversies around Alzheimer’s drug approvals and leadership changes have raised questions.
  • ESG & Governance: Generally acceptable, though the Aduhelm (aducanumab) approval saga drew scrutiny regarding FDA relations and pricing.

(Credible management, but recent reputational bumps and pipeline controversies.)

7. Risk Factors (Score: 6/10)

  • Beta: Biogen’s beta is often below 1, meaning somewhat less volatile than the broader market. However, biotech is inherently risky due to FDA/regulatory hurdles.
  • Sector Risks: Pipeline failures or regulatory setbacks can rapidly change valuation; also pricing pressure in the U.S. healthcare market.

(Balance of lower share-price volatility vs. high regulatory/pipeline risk.)

8. Market Sentiment (Score: 6/10)

  • News/Events: Sentiment has been mixed—optimism for new Alzheimer’s treatments offset by skepticism over controversies and slow uptake.
  • RSI / Technicals: Biogen often trades in a moderate RSI range; not typically extremely oversold or overbought. Recent sentiment is cautious rather than exuberant.

(Neither strongly bullish nor overly negative—some wait-and-see approach by the market.)

9. Margin of Safety (Score: 7/10)

  • Valuation vs. DCF: Biogen may trade at or slightly below many analysts’ fair-value estimates, implying some margin of safety, but that hinges on pipeline success.
  • Downside vs. Upside: If new drugs underperform, shares could re-rate lower; if Alzheimer’s therapies succeed, the upside could be significant.

(Potentially some discount priced in due to uncertainty, but pipeline success is crucial.)

10. Peer Comparison (Score: 7/10)

  • Multiples: On a P/E and EV/EBITDA basis, Biogen is often cheaper than peers like Regeneron or Vertex, reflecting slower near-term growth or pipeline overhang.
  • ROE: Historically strong but may temper if growth doesn’t re-accelerate.

(Trades at a discount to other large-cap biotechs, but also with somewhat higher pipeline uncertainty.)

Total Score: 69/100

  • Strengths: Solid balance sheet, strong free cash flow, relatively modest valuation multiples.
  • Weaknesses: Slowing revenue growth in core franchises, high dependence on potential new product approvals, some recent management/controversy issues.
  • Overall: A mid-to-high 60s score suggests a moderately attractive but higher-risk large-cap biotech, with meaningful pipeline-driven upside balanced by regulatory and competitive uncertainties.

Disclaimer:
This stock review has been generated using artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only. The content provided does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. AI analysis may not account for all market factors, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Before making any investment decisions, conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial professional. We do not assume any responsibility for losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.Investing in the stock market involves risks, including the loss of principal. Proceed at your own discretion.

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6.9 Total Score
Total Score: 69/100 (Last reviewed: February 6, 2025)

Strengths: Solid balance sheet, strong free cash flow, relatively modest valuation multiples. Weaknesses: Slowing revenue growth in core franchises, high dependence on potential new product approvals, some recent management/controversy issues. Overall: A mid-to-high 60s score suggests a moderately attractive but higher-risk large-cap biotech, with meaningful pipeline-driven upside balanced by regulatory and competitive uncertainties.

Valuation Metrics
8.0
Financial Health
8.0
Growth Potential
6.0
Cash Flow Strength
8.0
Industry Position
7.0
Management & Governance
6.0
Risk Factors
6.0
Market Sentiment
6.0
Margin of Safety
7.0
Peer Comparison
7.0
PROS
  • Valuation Metrics (Score: 8/10)
  • Financial Health (Score: 8/10)
  • Cash Flow Strength (Score: 8/10)
CONS
  • Growth Potential (Score: 6/10)
  • Management & Governance (Score: 6/10)
  • Risk Factors (Score: 6/10)
User Rating: No Ratings Yet!

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1 Comment
  1. Not sure about this, @145 I lost already . Now trading @138. Will are. Not so much comments, looks I am the only one commenting…

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